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NFL All Day · Pack #792

Cleveland Browns - First Release

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.61/pack▼ 65% below the $4.65 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.40

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$4.65] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

409

complete open history

Moments pulled

818

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.65

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.33

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

191

still unopened

Opened share

68%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.61/packvs realized $0.33 avg · $0.33 median(0.20×)

Model over-values vs actual pulls · 409 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Amari Cooper · Dynamic	LEGENDARY	0.15%	$323	55.6%
Deshaun Watson · Dynamic	RARE	1.54%	$5.00	8.6%

Sealed pack resale

Last $4.00 · 1y agoRetail $4.00763 sales

Pack price

$4.65

Actual EV

$1.61

Mean pull · Net −$3.04 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.40

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.35x

-65.4% margin

FMV coverage

100%

13 editions

Depletion

68%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

191

of 600 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~81% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

32%unopened

191 / 600 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 13 of 13 (100%)

Amari Cooper

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Fumble Recovery · Nov 5, 2023

Reception · Oct 29, 2023

Reception · Oct 15, 2023

Reception · Sep 18, 2023

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 13

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Myles Garrett	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.20	—
Deshaun Watson	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.20	—
David Njoku	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.15	—
Amari Cooper	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.15	—
Elijah Moore	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.15	—
Myles Garrett	Make the Stop	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.29	—
Jerome Ford	Move the Chains	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.22	—
Deshaun Watson	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$5.00	—
David Njoku	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$1.29	—
Amari Cooper	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$2.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 12:07 PM PT.