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NFL All Day · Pack #811

Carolina Panthers - First Release

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.56/pack▼ 81% below the $3.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.36

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

384

complete open history

Moments pulled

768

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.86

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.43

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

216

still unopened

Opened share

64%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.56/packvs realized $0.43 avg · $0.43 median(0.77×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 384 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Bryce Young · Dynamic	RARE	1.54%	$10.00	35.1%
Brian Burns · Dynamic	LEGENDARY	0.15%	$22.50	7.9%

Sealed pack resale

Last $2.00 · 11mo agoRetail $4.00691 sales

Pack price

$3.00

Actual EV

$0.56

Mean pull · Net −$2.44 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.36

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.19x

-81.3% margin

FMV coverage

100%

13 editions

Depletion

64%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

216

of 600 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

36%unopened

216 / 600 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 13 of 13 (100%)

Brian Burns

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Reception · Sep 18, 2023

Tackle · Nov 26, 2023

Reception · Oct 29, 2023

Reception · Nov 19, 2023

Reception · Nov 26, 2023

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 13

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
DJ Chark Jr.	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.18	—
Chuba Hubbard	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.21	—
Jonathan Mingo	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.16	—
Adam Thielen	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.17	—
Brian Burns	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.20	—
Jonathan Mingo	Move the Chains	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.25	—
Brian Burns	Make the Stop	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.16	—
DJ Chark Jr.	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$1.00	—
Miles Sanders	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$1.00	—
Bryce Young	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$10.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 2:37 PM PT.