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NFL All Day · Pack #813

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - First Release

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.11/pack▼ 82% below the $6.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.38

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$6.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

399

complete open history

Moments pulled

798

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$1.63

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.33

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

201

still unopened

Opened share

67%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.11/packvs realized $0.33 avg · $0.33 median(0.30×)

Model over-values vs actual pulls · 399 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Chris Godwin · Dynamic	LEGENDARY	0.15%	$170	40.2%
Rachaad White · Dynamic	RARE	1.54%	$8.10	19.2%
Mike Evans

Sealed pack resale

Last $4.00 · 1y agoRetail $4.00698 sales

Pack price

$6.00

Actual EV

$1.11

Mean pull · Net −$4.89 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.38

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.19x

-81.5% margin

FMV coverage

100%

13 editions

Depletion

67%

of all minted packs · as of 66d ago

Packs remaining

201

of 600 minted · as of 66d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

34%unopened

201 / 600 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 13 of 13 (100%)

Chris Godwin

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Reception · Sep 25, 2023

Strip Sack · Sep 10, 2023

Reception · Nov 12, 2023

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 13

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Vita Vea	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.20	—
Rachaad White	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.16	—
Shaquil Barrett	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.17	—
Baker Mayfield	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.22	—
Chris Godwin	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.16	—
Antoine Winfield Jr.	Make the Stop	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.19	—
Cade Otton	Move the Chains	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.21	—
Chris Godwin	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$1.70	—
Mike Evans	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$2.50	—
Vita Vea	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$1.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 12:37 PM PT.