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NFL All Day · Pack #814

Atlanta Falcons - First Release

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.84/pack▼ 92% below the $10.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.38

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$10.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

436

complete open history

Moments pulled

872

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.54

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.54

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

164

still unopened

Opened share

73%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.84/packvs realized $0.54 avg · $0.54 median(0.64×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 436 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Bijan Robinson · Dynamic	RARE	1.54%	$22.50	42.7%
Bijan Robinson · Base	COMMON	15.36%	$0.75	14.2%

Sealed pack resale

Last $9.00 · 2y agoRetail $4.00726 sales

Pack price

$10.00

Actual EV

$0.84

Mean pull · Net −$9.16 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.38

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.08x

-91.6% margin

FMV coverage

100%

13 editions

Depletion

73%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

164

of 600 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~57% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

27%unopened

164 / 600 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 13 of 13 (100%)

Drake London

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Reception · Sep 24, 2023

Reception · Oct 8, 2023

Interception · Sep 24, 2023

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 13

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Kyle Pitts	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.19	—
Grady Jarrett	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.17	—
Bijan Robinson	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.75	—
Jessie Bates III	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.15	—
Desmond Ridder	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.19	—
Jessie Bates III	Make the Stop	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.25	—
Drake London	Move the Chains	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.22	—
Grady Jarrett	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$1.25	—
Bijan Robinson	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$22.50	—
Desmond Ridder	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$1.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 12:37 PM PT.