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NFL All Day · Pack #822

New York Giants - First Release

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.27/pack▼ 66% below the $3.75 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.40

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.75] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

415

complete open history

Moments pulled

830

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.37

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.37

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

185

still unopened

Opened share

69%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.27/packvs realized $0.37 avg · $0.37 median(0.29×)

Model over-values vs actual pulls · 415 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Saquon Barkley · Dynamic	LEGENDARY	0.15%	$242	56.4%
Saquon Barkley · Dynamic	RARE	1.54%	$2.50	5.8%

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 1y agoRetail $4.00649 sales

Pack price

$3.75

Actual EV

$1.27

Mean pull · Net −$2.48 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.40

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.34x

-66.1% margin

FMV coverage

100%

13 editions

Depletion

69%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

185

of 600 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

31%unopened

185 / 600 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 13 of 13 (100%)

Saquon Barkley

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Player Melt · Sep 10, 2023

Reception · Nov 26, 2023

Tackle · Nov 12, 2023

Reception · Oct 22, 2023

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 13

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jalin Hyatt	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.20	—
Daniel Jones	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.20	—
Dexter Lawrence	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.19	—
Darren Waller	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.15	—
Kayvon Thibodeaux	Base	COMMON	0.17%	$0.15	—
Daniel Jones	Move the Chains	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.30	—
Kayvon Thibodeaux	Make the Stop	UNCOMMON	0.08%	$0.20	—
Jalin Hyatt	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$0.85	—
Daniel Jones	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$1.00	—
Saquon Barkley	Dynamic	RARE	0.02%	$2.50	—

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 12:37 PM PT.