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NFL All Day · Pack #827

Collect Playbook - Week 13 - 100 Yards (Playbook Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.50/pack▼ 96% below the $40.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $40.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$40.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

496

complete open history

Moments pulled

496

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Bijan Robinson · Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$22.50	5.1%
Patrick Mahomes II · Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$20.00	4.5%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$20.00	4.5%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $30.00 · 2y ago52 sales

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$1.50

Net −$38.50 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $40.00 ask

Value ratio

0.04x

-96.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $40.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 505 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

1.8%unopened

9 / 505 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Travis Etienne Jr.	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$1.30	—
Treylon Burks	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$1.00	—
Derrick Henry	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$2.55	—
Austin Ekeler	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$0.75	—
Matthew Stafford	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$13.50	—
Dak Prescott	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$2.00	—
Darnell Wright	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$0.85	—
Jordan Love	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$10.50	—
Jalen Pitre	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$1.50	—
Jason Kelce	Dynamic	RARE	0.62%	$5.10	—

Collect Playbook - Week 13 - 100 Yards (Playbook Reward)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV