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NFL All Day · Pack #913

Draw it Up: Jalen Hurts (2023 Season)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $7.20/pack▼ 92% below the $88.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $88.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$88.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

216

complete open history

Moments pulled

216

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$7.20

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$7.20

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $7.20/packvs realized $7.20 avg · $7.20 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 216 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $67.00 · 3y ago1 sale

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$7.20

Net −$80.80 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $88.00

Value ratio

0.08x

-91.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $88.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

of 222 minted · as of 84d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.7%unopened

6 / 222 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jalen Hurts	Draw it Up	RARE	100.00%	$7.20	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.