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NFL All Day · Pack #921

Atlanta Falcons - New User Promo

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.52/pack▼ 94% below the $9.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.48

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$9.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

110

complete open history

Moments pulled

220

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.98

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.98

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

890

still unopened

Opened share

11%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.52/packvs realized $0.98 avg · $0.98 median(1.89×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 110 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $4.00 · 3y agoRetail $4.00103 sales

Pack price

$4.00

Actual EV

$0.52

Mean pull · Net −$8.48 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.48

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.06x

-94.2% margin

FMV coverage

100%

7 editions

Depletion

11%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

890

of 1,000 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

89%unopened

890 / 1,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 7 of 7 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 7 of 7

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Desmond Ridder	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.18	—
Kyle Pitts	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.24	—
Jessie Bates III	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.12	—
Bijan Robinson	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.95	—
Grady Jarrett	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.26	—
Drake London	Move the Chains	UNCOMMON	0.05%	$0.28	—
Jessie Bates III	Make the Stop	UNCOMMON	0.05%	$0.44	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 10:11:02 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.