Cincinnati Bengals - New User Promo

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.45/pack▼ 94% below the $8.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.44

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$8.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

139

complete open history

Moments pulled

278

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

861

still unopened

Opened share

14%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Joe Burrow · Base	COMMON	16.67%	$0.74	37.2%
Ja'Marr Chase · Base	COMMON	16.67%	$0.49	24.6%
Tee Higgins · Base	COMMON	16.67%	$0.22	11.1%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $3.00 (90d)Last $3.00 · 2mo agoRetail $4.00117 sales · 1 in 90d

trades 0.75× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

$8.00

Actual EV

$0.45

Mean pull · Net −$7.55 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.44

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.06x

-94.4% margin

FMV coverage

100%

7 editions

Depletion

14%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

861

of 1,000 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).