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NFL All Day · Pack #94

Playbook: Five-Star Reward (Series 2, Week 9)

Premium3 slots

Value still sealed≈ $4.56/pack▼ 99% below the $500 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $500 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$500] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

774

complete open history

Moments pulled

2,322

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Christian McCaffrey · Base	COMMON	2.69%	$1.00	9.3%
Aaron Rodgers · Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.80	7.4%
Dak Prescott · Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.65	6.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$4.56

Net −$495 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $500 ask

Value ratio

0.01x

-99.1% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $500 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 780 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by published pack odds (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

0.8%unopened

6 / 780 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$1.00	$0.08
Aaron Rodgers	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.80	$0.06
Dak Prescott	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.65	$0.05
Olamide Zaccheaus	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.50	$0.04
Aidan Hutchinson	Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	0.03%	$50.00	$0.04
Darnell Mooney	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.49	$0.04
Mac Jones	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.29	$0.02
Stefon Diggs	Iconic	LEGENDARY	0.02%	$34.20	$0.02
Mack Hollins	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.25	$0.02
Chris Conley	Base	COMMON	2.69%	$0.25	$0.02

Playbook: Five-Star Reward (Series 2, Week 9)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV