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NFL All Day · Pack #951

Washington Commanders - New User Promo

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.36/pack▼ 94% below the $6.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.34

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$6.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

131

complete open history

Moments pulled

262

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

869

still unopened

Opened share

13%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Terry McLaurin · Base	COMMON	16.67%	$0.31	26.5%
Jahan Dotson · Base	COMMON	16.67%	$0.20	17.1%
Curtis Samuel · Base	COMMON	16.67%	$0.17	14.5%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $4.00 · 3y agoRetail $4.00108 sales

Pack price

$6.00

Actual EV

$0.36

Mean pull · Net −$5.64 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.34

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.06x

-94.0% margin

FMV coverage

100%

7 editions

Depletion

13%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

869

of 1,000 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

87%unopened

869 / 1,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 7 of 7 (100%)

Terry McLaurin

Reception · Oct 1, 2023

Reception · Oct 5, 2023

Reception · Sep 17, 2023

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 7 of 7

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Curtis Samuel	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.17	—
Brian Robinson Jr.	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.11	—
Terry McLaurin	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.31	—
Jonathan Allen	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.16	—
Jahan Dotson	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.20	—
Jonathan Allen	Make the Stop	UNCOMMON	0.05%	$0.19	—
Brian Robinson Jr.	Move the Chains	UNCOMMON	0.05%	$0.25	—

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 6:37 PM PT.