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NFL All Day · Pack #951

Washington Commanders - New User Promo

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.22/pack▼ 96% below the $6.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.20

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$6.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

131

complete open history

Moments pulled

262

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

869

still unopened

Opened share

13%

of all minted packs

Sealed pack resale

Last $4.00 · 3y agoRetail $4.00108 sales

Pack price

$4.00

Actual EV

$0.22

Mean pull · Net −$5.78 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.20

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.04x

-96.3% margin

FMV coverage

100%

7 editions

Depletion

13%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

869

of 1,000 minted · as of 84d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

87%unopened

869 / 1,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 7 of 7 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 7 of 7

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Curtis Samuel	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.10	—
Brian Robinson Jr.	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.10	—
Terry McLaurin	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.10	—
Jonathan Allen	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.13	—
Jahan Dotson	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.13	—
Jonathan Allen	Make the Stop	UNCOMMON	0.05%	$0.19	—
Brian Robinson Jr.	Move the Chains	UNCOMMON	0.05%	$0.13	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 9/20/2026, 11:07:30 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.