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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1261
Boston Celtics 2024 Playoff Pack
Fandom3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$17.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.04 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $17.00
Typical Pull
$2.07
Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $17.00
FMV coverage
100%
18 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
238
of 4,352 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago5.5%unopened
Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)
Rare7 / 175 (4.0%)
Fandom476 / 8,694 (5.5%)
Common231 / 4,167 (5.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 10 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 7 / 175 | 1.0% | ~1 in 34 |
| Fandom | 476 / 8,694 | 67% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 231 / 4,167 | 32% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 18 of 18 (100%)Robert Parish
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$18.70
Floor
$22.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$12.09
Floor
$11.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Kawhi Leonard
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$6.19
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Jaren Jackson Jr.
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Mikal Bridges
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.14
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Houston Rockets Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
P.J. Washington
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Boston Celtics Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.69
Mint 4,347
Hit 33.33%Wt 0.333
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.80%Wt 0.028
Boston Celtics Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.47
Mint 4,347
Hit 33.33%Wt 0.333
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Luke Kornet
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.34
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.034
Kristaps Porziņģis
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.44%Wt 0.064
Sam Hauser
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.88%Wt 0.059
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.60%Wt 0.056
Derrick White
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.06%Wt 0.041
Jrue Holiday
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02
Payton Pritchard
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02