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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1265
Milwaukee Bucks 2024 Playoff Pack
Fandom3 slots
Pack price
$19.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $12.03 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $48.00
Typical Pull
$5.40
Grail premium $6.63 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $48.00
FMV coverage
100%
24 editions
Depletion
93%
live pool
Packs remaining
87
of 1,218 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 23d ago7.1%unopened
Legendary3 / 10 (30%)
Rare16 / 175 (9.1%)
Fandom174 / 2,426 (7.2%)
Common68 / 1,033 (6.6%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 23d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 3 / 10 | 1.1% | ~1 in 29 |
| Rare | 16 / 175 | 6.1% | ~1 in 6 |
| Fandom | 174 / 2,426 | 67% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 68 / 1,033 | 26% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 24 of 24 (100%)Isiah Thomas
Run It Back: Legacies 1986-87
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$343
Floor
$179
Mint 99
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Julius Randle
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$113
Floor
$58.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Malcolm Brogdon
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$54.00
Floor
$60.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Brad Daugherty
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$30.60
Floor
$34.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.023
Mark Price
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$22.50
Floor
$25.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.023
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$12.09
Floor
$11.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Tom Chambers
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$10.14
Floor
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.023
Kawhi Leonard
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$6.19
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Miami Heat 3 Pointer
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Jaren Jackson Jr.
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Boston Celtics Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Mikal Bridges
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.14
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.034
P.J. Washington
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.023
Milwaukee Bucks Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$2.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,213
Hit 33.33%Wt 1
Milwaukee Bucks Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$1.80
Floor
$2.00
Mint 1,213
Hit 33.33%Wt 1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.45%Wt 0.103
AJ Green
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.83%Wt 0.115
Brook Lopez
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.034
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.034
Jae Crowder
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Khris Middleton
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.21%Wt 0.126
MarJon Beauchamp
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.66%Wt 0.23
Pat Connaughton
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.057
Bobby Portis
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.30%Wt 0.069