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Home › NBA Top Shot › Indiana Pacers 2024 Playoff Pack NBA Top Shot · Pack #1271
Indiana Pacers 2024 Playoff Pack Fandom 3 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$19.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value. Actual EV
—
≈ $14.81 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $19.00
Typical Pull
$13.50
Grail premium $1.31 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $19.00
FMV coverage
100%
3 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 66d ago
Packs remaining
47
of 1,135 minted · as of 66d ago
Packs Content Remaining pool · as of 66d ago
Pull odds by tier 3 slots/pack · as of 66d ago Tier Remaining % of pool Odds / pack Legendary 0 / 10 0.0% depleted Rare 5 / 175 3.5% ~1 in 10 Fandom 94 / 2,268 67% ~1 in 1 Common 42 / 950 30% ~1 in 2
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside FMV priced 3 of 3 (100%) FMV ↓ Mint ↑ Series ↓ A → Z
Load 24 more
▸ Exhausted / pulled out (37)
💬 Observed pack lifecycle Packs opened
274
attributed rips · sample
Moments pulled
801
from opened packs
Realized pull value
$265
total, priced pulls
Avg / pack
$8.83
per pack we could price
EV reality check Modeled $14.81 /pack vs realized $7.82 avg · $8.20 median · $13.21 p90 (0.53×)
Calibrated estimate $11.43 /pack model blended toward observed pulls
Model over-values vs actual pulls · 37 attributed opens
What drives the remaining EV Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.
⚠ 87% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.
Edition Tier Pull % FMV EV share — · The Champion's Path 2024 FANDOM 95.92% $4.50 87.4% Vince Carter · Run It Back 2005-06 RARE 2.04% $20.42 8.4% Chauncey Billups · Run It Back 2005-06
Sealed pack resale Last $7.00 · 1y ago Retail $19.00 246 sales
EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.
Sales History secondary pack sales Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.
Top pulls by EV top 3 of 3 Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 9/21/2026, 10:13:00 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.
