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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1274

Philadelphia 76ers 2024 Playoff Pack

Fandom3 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$39.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

192

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

557

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$273

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$18.21

per pack we could price

Realized pull value

Realized $10.39 avg · $1.62 median · $21.55 p90

Realized pull value · 28 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 76% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Allen Iverson · Run It Back 2005-06	RARE	16.67%	$63.20	57.3%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · For the Win	RARE	33.33%	$10.20	18.5%
Ray Allen · Run It Back 2005-06	RARE	16.67%	$13.64	12.4%
Mikal Bridges · For the Win

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $23.00 · 2y agoRetail $39.00150 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$39.00

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $39.00

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $39.00

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

95%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 1,298 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 14h ago

5.2%unopened

68 / 1,298 packs

Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)

Rare9 / 174 (5.2%)

Fandom136 / 2,586 (5.3%)

Common59 / 1,113 (5.3%)

Pull odds by tier

3 slots/pack · as of 14h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	0 / 10	0.0%	depleted
Rare	9 / 174	4.4%	~1 in 8
Fandom	136 / 2,586	67%	~1 in 1
Common	59 / 1,113	29%	~1 in 2

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

What's Inside

pullable editions

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@rmrbball3	$5.00	110d ago
@AvAh	$2.00	51d ago
@Cardshark21	$2.00	53d ago
@VC15AirCanada	$2.00	75d ago
@RandomNameGenerator	$2.00	76d ago
@Candek	$2.00	76d ago
@BabySharkFTW	$2.00	76d ago
@5talen	$2.00	76d ago
@Candek	$2.00	77d ago
@BabySharkFTW	$2.00	77d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@AvAh	$2.00	51d ago
@Cardshark21	$2.00	53d ago
@VC15AirCanada	$2.00	75d ago
@RandomNameGenerator	$2.00

Top pulls by EV

top 4 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Allen Iverson	Run It Back 2005-06	RARE	16.67%	$63.20	$31.60
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	For the Win	RARE	33.33%	$10.20	$10.20
Ray Allen	Run It Back 2005-06	RARE	16.67%