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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1276
Miami Heat 2024 Playoff Pack
Fandom3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$900
Actual EV
—
≈ $5.33 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $900 ask
Typical Pull
$3.00
Grail premium $2.33 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $900 ask
FMV coverage
100%
17 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
42
of 1,046 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago4.0%unopened
Legendary1 / 10 (10%)
2.4 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.96 · 2.5× launch rate
Rare6 / 175 (3.4%)
14 per 100 sealed packs · launch 17 · 0.9× launch rate
Fandom84 / 2,092 (4.0%)
Common35 / 861 (4.1%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 10 | 0.8% | ~1 in 42 |
| Rare | 6 / 175 | 4.8% | ~1 in 7 |
| Fandom | 84 / 2,092 | 67% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 35 / 861 | 28% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 17 of 17 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
James Harden
3 Pointer · Jan 4, 2019
Run It Back: Legacies 2014-19
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$90.00
Recent Low
$100
Mint 75
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
Bam Adebayo
Block · Feb 10, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Jump Shot · Mar 31, 2024
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
Gerald Wallace
Block · Nov 27, 2005
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
Mikal Bridges
Jump Shot · Dec 7, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.89
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
P.J. Washington
Layup · Apr 6, 2024
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.59
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.59%Wt 0.016
Miami Heat
Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOMSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,046
Hit 33.33%Wt 0.333
Miami Heat
Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOMSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,046
Hit 33.33%Wt 0.333
Tyler Herro
Steal · Nov 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.17%Wt 0.032
Duncan Robinson
Layup · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
Haywood Highsmith
Block · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.59%Wt 0.016
Josh Richardson
3 Pointer · Feb 1, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.76%Wt 0.048
Jimmy Butler
Assist · Nov 7, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.97%Wt 0.04
Kevin Love
Assist · Nov 29, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
Nikola Jović
3 Pointer · Feb 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.35%Wt 0.063
Caleb Martin
Dunk · Dec 17, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.76%Wt 0.048
Bam Adebayo
Block · Nov 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.59%Wt 0.016