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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1549
Run It Back: Quick Rips
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$7.99
Actual EV
$1.33
Net −$6.66 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 82% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.99 ask
Typical Pull
$0.63
Grail premium $0.70 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.17x
-83.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 82% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.99 ask
FMV coverage
100%
1174 editions
Depletion
82%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
1,753
of 9,902 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago18%unopened
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.07
Rare176 / 993 (18%)
10 per 100 sealed packs · launch 10 · ≈ launch rate
Common5,083 / 28,706 (18%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 176 / 993 | 3.3% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 5,083 / 28,706 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 1,174 of 1174 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Bryant Reeves
Layup · Dec 16, 1995
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
DeMarcus Cousins
Handles · Mar 3, 2011
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Jason Kidd
Reel · Apr 11, 1995
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Mike Miller
Layup · Feb 3, 2001
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Eddie Jones
Dunk · Apr 16, 1995
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
LaMarcus Aldridge
Reel · Jan 11, 2019
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Rod Strickland
Layup · Feb 23, 1995
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.72%Wt 0.007
Mo Williams
3 Pointer · Jan 14, 2015
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Dan Majerle
3 Pointer · Jun 1, 1993
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Draymond Green
Reel · Feb 11, 2017
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.006
Matthew Dellavedova
Jump Shot · Jun 10, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Keon Ellis
Block · Dec 15, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Omri Casspi
3 Pointer · Dec 29, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.97
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Gui Santos
Layup · Nov 17, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.58
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.003
Day'Ron Sharpe
Dunk · Nov 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.32
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Jontay Porter
3 Pointer · Jan 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Alan Anderson
3 Pointer · Feb 3, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.86%Wt 0.009
Jason Smith
Block · Nov 11, 2013
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.008
AJ Green
3 Pointer · Mar 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.14%Wt 0.011
Alexis Ajinça
Layup · Feb 28, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.009
Simone Fontecchio
Jump Shot · Mar 10, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.01
Wesley Matthews
Assist · Dec 31, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Jared Butler
Assist · Mar 26, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Lester Quinones
3 Pointer · Feb 4, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.12%Wt 0.011
