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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2089
Run It Back: Origins September
Rare2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$20.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $16.52 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $20.00
Typical Pull
$15.30
Grail premium $1.22 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $20.00
FMV coverage
100%
30 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
232
of 5,000 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 12h ago4.6%unopened
Rare283 / 6,000 (4.7%)
Common181 / 4,000 (4.5%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 12h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 283 / 6,000 | 61% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 181 / 4,000 | 39% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 30 of 30 (100%)Richard Hamilton
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$20.70
Floor
$23.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.90%Wt 0.052
James Harden
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$20.40
Floor
$24.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.039
Mark Jackson
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$14.86
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.06
Marcus Camby
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$14.40
Floor
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.84%Wt 0.078
Brook Lopez
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$11.70
Floor
$13.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.17%Wt 0.082
Monta Ellis
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$11.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.97%Wt 0.013
Naz Reid
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$10.00
Floor
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.03
Joe Johnson
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$9.86
Floor
$8.00
Mint 699
Hit 6.49%Wt 0.086
Jamal Mashburn
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$9.35
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 8.77%Wt 0.116
Luol Deng
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$8.07
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.25%Wt 0.043
Klay Thompson
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$7.65
Floor
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.52%Wt 0.073
Dennis Scott
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$6.79
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 5.84%Wt 0.078
Paul Pierce
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$6.48
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.069
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.069
Stephon Marbury
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$5.86
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 5.52%Wt 0.073
Avery Johnson
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$5.77
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.25%Wt 0.043
Rik Smits
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 4.87%Wt 0.065
Walker Kessler
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$4.71
Floor
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.004
Paul George
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$4.63
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.039
Glenn Robinson
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$4.29
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 4.22%Wt 0.056
Isaiah Thomas
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 4.22%Wt 0.056
Jake LaRavia
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.41
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.97%Wt 0.013
Leonard Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.28
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.022
Sidy Cissoko
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.26
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.03