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NBA Top Shot · Pack #2089
Run It Back: Origins September
Rare2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$20.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $8.43 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $20.00 ask
Typical Pull
$8.00
Grail premium $0.43 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $20.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
59 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
231
of 5,000 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago4.6%unopened
Rare282 / 6,000 (4.7%)
122 per 100 sealed packs · launch 120 · ≈ launch rate
Common180 / 4,000 (4.5%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 282 / 6,000 | 61% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 180 / 4,000 | 39% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 59 of 59 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
James Harden
3 Pointer · Apr 24, 2010
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.95%Wt 0.019
Monta Ellis
Layup · Mar 28, 2006
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Marcus Camby
Dunk · Nov 2, 1996
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.90%Wt 0.039
Richard Hamilton
Jump Shot · Apr 13, 2000
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.026
Naz Reid
Dunk · Mar 11, 2020
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Jamal Mashburn
Dunk · Feb 25, 1994
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.84%Wt 0.058
Klay Thompson
3 Pointer · Feb 5, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.037
Mark Jackson
Assist · Apr 5, 1988
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Luol Deng
Handles · Dec 9, 2004
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
Joe Johnson
Jump Shot · Dec 7, 2007
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 4.33%Wt 0.043
Glenn Robinson
3 Pointer · Feb 4, 2000
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.28
Recent Low
$3.50
Mint 699
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.028
Brook Lopez
Dunk · Jan 13, 2009
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.25
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.11%Wt 0.041
Rik Smits
Jump Shot · May 29, 1995
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.25%Wt 0.032
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf
3 Pointer · Nov 28, 1992
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.46%Wt 0.035
Dennis Scott
Jump Shot · Feb 22, 1996
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.90%Wt 0.039
Stephon Marbury
3 Pointer · Apr 19, 2003
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.89
Mint 699
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.037
Paul Pierce
Jump Shot · May 9, 2015
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.46%Wt 0.035
Avery Johnson
Jump Shot · Jun 25, 1999
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
Paul George
Jump Shot · Feb 23, 2019
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.95%Wt 0.019
Isaiah Thomas
Assist · Feb 26, 2016
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.026
Gui Santos
Layup · Nov 17, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.58
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.25%Wt 0.032
Rayan Rupert
3 Pointer · Nov 20, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.026
Javon Freeman-Liberty
Layup · Jan 18, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.63
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.037
Onuralp Bitim
3 Pointer · Feb 29, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.53
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.25%Wt 0.032