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NBA Top Shot · Pack #3990
Run It Back: Quick Rips October
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$11.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.66 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $11.99 ask
Typical Pull
$1.00
Grail premium $1.66 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $11.99 ask
FMV coverage
100%
443 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 13h ago
Packs remaining
277
of 8,540 minted · as of 13h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 13h ago3.2%unopened
Legendary1 / 48 (2.1%)
0.36 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.56 · 0.6× launch rate
Rare62 / 1,975 (3.1%)
22 per 100 sealed packs · launch 23 · ≈ launch rate
Common1,322 / 40,677 (3.2%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 13h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 48 | <0.1% | ~1 in 277 |
| Rare | 62 / 1,975 | 4.5% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 1,322 / 40,677 | 95% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 443 of 443 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Patrick Ewing
Dunk · Jun 5, 1994
Run It Back: Legacies
LEGENDARYSeries 2023-24
FMV
$113
Recent Low
$125
Mint 75
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Dee Brown
Dunk · Feb 9, 1991
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Sam Cassell
3 Pointer · Jun 12, 1994
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Mitch Richmond
Dunk · May 2, 1989
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
Handles · Nov 23, 1997
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Kevin Love
Assist · Jan 26, 2009
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.004
Caron Butler
Dunk · Oct 31, 2002
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Gus Williams
Dunk · May 20, 1979
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.24
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Carlos Boozer
Dunk · Mar 26, 2007
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Kyle Lowry
Layup · Nov 21, 2006
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Isaiah Rider
Dunk · Mar 23, 1995
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Metta World Peace
Dunk · Feb 3, 2008
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Cedric Ceballos
Dunk · Jan 31, 1996
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Michael Finley
Dunk · Feb 21, 2001
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Clifford Robinson
Dunk · Dec 7, 1991
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.004
Amar'e Stoudemire
Dunk · Mar 28, 2010
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Robert Pack
Dunk · Jan 26, 1993
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Tyson Chandler
Dunk · May 5, 2008
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
OG Anunoby
Dunk · Jan 1, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.50
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,023
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Paolo Banchero
Handles · Nov 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Luka Dončić
Steal · Dec 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.52
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Walker Kessler
3 Pointer · Dec 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.51
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Dalen Terry
Dunk · Mar 24, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
Ayo Dosunmu
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008