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Home › NBA Top Shot › Rookie Debut 2024 NBA Top Shot · Pack #4016
Rookie Debut 2024 Common 5 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$54.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value. Pack price
Primary SOLD OUT
Secondary $54.00
Actual EV
—
≈ — ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Depletion
94%
pool · as of 25d ago
Packs remaining
437
of 7,009 minted · as of 25d ago
Packs Content Remaining pool · as of 25d ago Common 2,170 / 34,944 (6.2%)
Pull odds by tier 5 slots/pack · as of 25d ago Tier Remaining % of pool Odds / pack Ultimate 0 / 2 0.0% depleted Legendary 2 / 17 <0.1% ~1 in 218 Rare 1 / 82 <0.1% ~1 in 435 Common 2,170 / 34,944 100% ~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside pullable editions FMV ↓ Mint ↑ Series ↓ A → Z
Load 24 more
▸ Exhausted / pulled out (36)
💬 Observed pack lifecycle Packs opened
2,334
attributed rips · sample
Moments pulled
11,638
from opened packs
Realized pull value
$670
total, priced pulls
Avg / pack
$51.50
per pack we could price
Sealed (observed)
1
still unopened
Realized pull value Realized $36.09 avg · $15.49 median · $35.99 p90
Realized pull value · 24 attributed opens
What drives the remaining EV Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.
⚠ 98% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.
Sealed pack resale Median $53.50 (90d) Last $53.00 · 2mo ago Retail $53.00 2,276 sales · 2 in 90d
trades ~1.01× retail · Freshman Gems
EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.
Sales History secondary pack sales Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.
Top pulls by EV top 4 of 0 Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/28/2026, 6:55:17 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.
