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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4016
Rookie Debut 2024
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$53.00
Actual EV
—
≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $53.00
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $53.00
FMV coverage
—
0 editions
Depletion
94%
live pool
Packs remaining
437
of 7,009 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago6.2%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
Legendary2 / 17 (12%)
Rare1 / 82 (1.2%)
Common2,170 / 34,944 (6.2%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 2 / 17 | <0.1% | ~1 in 218 |
| Rare | 1 / 82 | <0.1% | ~1 in 435 |
| Common | 2,170 / 34,944 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
pullable editionsVictor Wembanyama
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$2,595
Floor
$2,055
Mint 75
Hit 25.00%Wt 0.002
Brandon Miller
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$208
Floor
$200
Mint 75
Hit 25.00%Wt 0.002
Chet Holmgren
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$95.67
Floor
$78.00
Mint 199
Hit 25.00%Wt 0.002
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$71.50
Floor
$65.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 25.00%Wt 0.002