Skip to content
LIVE
⚡ COLLECTION ANALYZER — FMV + marketplace asks + badge intel⚡ PACK EV CALCULATOR — expected value vs price⚡ SNIPER — real-time deals below FMV⚡ BADGE FILTERS — filter any view by Top Shot Debut · Fresh · Rookie Year⚡ SET TRACKER — completion + bottleneck finder
RPC›NBA Top Shot
🏀
NBA Top Shot
Dapper Labs · NBA
Flow
What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
Arcade Pack - Rookie Debut 2024
NBA Top Shot · Pack #4017

Arcade Pack - Rookie Debut 2024

Common3 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$4.99] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.00 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.99 ask
Typical Pull
$0.57
Grail premium $1.43 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.99 ask
FMV coverage
100%
216 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 8h ago
Packs remaining
802
of 24,668 minted · as of 8h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 8h ago
3.3%unopened
802 / 24,668 packs
Legendary0 / 8 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.03
Rare3 / 48 (6.3%)
0.37 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.19 · 1.9× launch rate
Common2,403 / 73,948 (3.2%)

Pull odds by tier

3 slots/pack · as of 8h ago
TierRemaining% of poolOdds / pack
Legendary0 / 80.0%depleted
Rare3 / 480.1%~1 in 268
Common2,403 / 73,948100%~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 216 of 216 (100%)
Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Cade Cunningham
Cade Cunningham
Layup · Oct 30, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
LaMelo Ball
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Dec 24, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Karl-Anthony Towns
Karl-Anthony Towns
Layup · Apr 6, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Domantas Sabonis
Domantas Sabonis
Dunk · Dec 26, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Jamal Murray
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Jan 20, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Stephon Castle
Stephon Castle
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Alexandre Sarr
Alexandre Sarr
Dunk · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Kel'el Ware
Kel'el Ware
Jump Shot · Nov 3, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.66%Wt 0.017
Donovan Clingan
Donovan Clingan
Layup · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Zaccharie Risacher
Zaccharie Risacher
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Zach Edey
Zach Edey
Layup · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Matas Buzelis
Matas Buzelis
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.96%Wt 0.01
Reed Sheppard
Reed Sheppard
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.44
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Tristan da Silva
Tristan da Silva
Layup · Nov 1, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.18
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.015
Jared McCain
Jared McCain
Jump Shot · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.96%Wt 0.01
Bronny James
Bronny James
Jump Shot · Oct 30, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.87
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Carlton Carrington
Carlton Carrington
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.69
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.58%Wt 0.016
Cody Williams
Cody Williams
Layup · Oct 26, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.30
Recent Low
$0.98
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Dalton Knecht
Dalton Knecht
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.50%Wt 0.015
Isaiah Collier
Isaiah Collier
Assist · Nov 8, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Ronald Holland II
Ronald Holland II
Layup · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
Tidjane Salaün
Tidjane Salaün
Steal · Oct 26, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Rob Dillingham
Rob Dillingham
Assist · Nov 3, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Luka Dončić
Luka Dončić
Assist · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.47
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005