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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4039
Fast Break - Rookie Pack
Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.55
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.13 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.55 ask
Typical Pull
$2.00
Grail premium $1.13 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.55 ask
FMV coverage
100%
18 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 17h ago
Packs remaining
89
of 1,800 minted · as of 17h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 17h ago4.9%unopened
Common89 / 1,800 (4.9%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 89 / 1,800 | 100% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 18 of 18 (100%)Stephon Castle
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.022
Alexandre Sarr
Dunk · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 10.11%Wt 0.101
Kel'el Ware
Jump Shot · Nov 3, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 8.99%Wt 0.09
Donovan Clingan
Layup · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.87%Wt 0.079
Zaccharie Risacher
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.62%Wt 0.056
Zach Edey
Layup · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.49%Wt 0.045
Matas Buzelis
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.022
Reed Sheppard
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.45
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.022
Tristan da Silva
Layup · Nov 1, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.18
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.49%Wt 0.045
Jared McCain
Jump Shot · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.62%Wt 0.056
Bronny James
Jump Shot · Oct 30, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.88
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.37%Wt 0.034
Carlton Carrington
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.69
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.62%Wt 0.056
Cody Williams
Layup · Oct 26, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.98
Mint 4,000
Hit 10.11%Wt 0.101
Isaiah Collier
Assist · Nov 8, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.12%Wt 0.011
Dalton Knecht
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.74%Wt 0.067
Ronald Holland II
Layup · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.79
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.74%Wt 0.067
Tidjane Salaün
Steal · Oct 26, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.65
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.74%Wt 0.067
Rob Dillingham
Assist · Nov 3, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.62%Wt 0.056