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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4133
November 7th, 2024 Premium Pack
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$39.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $8.42 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $39.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.20
Grail premium $7.22 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $39.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
44 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 17h ago
Packs remaining
69
of 3,500 minted · as of 17h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 17h ago2.0%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.06
Legendary1 / 80 (1.3%)
1.4 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.3 · 0.6× launch rate
Rare68 / 3,418 (2.0%)
99 per 100 sealed packs · launch 98 · ≈ launch rate
Common276 / 14,000 (2.0%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 80 | 0.3% | ~1 in 69 |
| Rare | 68 / 3,418 | 20% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 276 / 14,000 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 44 of 44 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · Dec 19, 2021
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$130
Recent Low
$175
Mint 99
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Josh Giddey
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.32%Wt 0.023
Jamal Murray
Layup · Oct 28, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.84
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Brandon Miller
Dunk · Oct 23, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.32%Wt 0.023
Domantas Sabonis
Dunk · Oct 27, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Ja Morant
Reel · Nov 1, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Cam Thomas
3 Pointer · Nov 1, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.009
Paul George
Handles · Jun 29, 2021
And Then There Were Four
RARESeries 2
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 750
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Joel Embiid
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.98
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Anthony Davis
Block · Oct 23, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
Cason Wallace
Dunk · Oct 27, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.029
Brandon Ingram
Jump Shot · Oct 25, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.83
Recent Low
$4.50
Mint 399
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.006
Derrick White
Block · Oct 26, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
Jay Huff
Dunk · Oct 27, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 3.19%Wt 0.032
Adem Bona
Layup · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.014
Tyler Kolek
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.95
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.009
Guerschon Yabusele
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,024
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.02
Scotty Pippen Jr.
3 Pointer · Oct 27, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.42
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
Ziaire Williams
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.43
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,024
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.043
Coby White
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.93%Wt 0.049
Kris Dunn
Steal · Oct 24, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,024
Hit 5.22%Wt 0.052
De'Anthony Melton
Assist · Oct 23, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,024
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.043
Mason Plumlee
Block · Oct 24, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,024
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.043
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Block · Oct 23, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,024
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.038