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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4259
Nov 22, 2024 Premium Pack
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$33.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $11.73 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $33.00
Typical Pull
$3.55
Grail premium $8.18 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $33.00
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
45
of 2,544 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 14h ago1.8%unopened
Legendary1 / 74 (1.4%)
Rare44 / 2,544 (1.7%)
Common175 / 10,102 (1.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 14h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 74 | 0.5% | ~1 in 44 |
| Rare | 44 / 2,544 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 175 / 10,102 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)De'Aaron Fox
NBA Cup
LEGENDARY7
FMV
$68.00
Floor
$80.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.022
Donovan Mitchell
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$11.83
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.044
Jalen Brunson
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$9.90
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.044
Jalen Johnson
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$9.79
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.089
Anthony Edwards
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$8.98
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.067
Alperen Şengün
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$8.39
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.022
Draymond Green
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$8.10
Floor
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.067
Mikal Bridges
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$7.52
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.51%Wt 0.111
Jalen Williams
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.51%Wt 0.111
Jalen Duren
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.044
Anthony Davis
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$5.96
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.089
Bam Adebayo
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$4.88
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.067
Brandin Podziemski
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$4.62
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.022
Dyson Daniels
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.044
Scoot Henderson
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$3.50
Floor
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.044
Tyler Herro
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.067
Onyeka Okongwu
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.044
LeBron James
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$1.08
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 6.53%Wt 0.289
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$1.08
Floor
$1.20
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.53%Wt 0.244
Josh Hart
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$0.85
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.53%Wt 0.244
Franz Wagner
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$0.85
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 4.52%Wt 0.2
Giannis Antetokounmpo
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$0.82
Floor
$0.97
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.03%Wt 0.222
Bruno Fernando
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$0.71
Floor
$0.79
Mint 1,500
Hit 4.52%Wt 0.2
Dillon Brooks
NBA Cup
COMMON7
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.27
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.53%Wt 0.244