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RPC›NBA Top Shot
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NBA Top Shot
Dapper Labs · NBA
Flow
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Grail Season
NBA Top Shot · Pack #4578

Grail Season

Common
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$10.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.26 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.21
Grail premium $0.05 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
34 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 6h ago
Packs remaining
110
of 5,000 minted · as of 6h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 6h ago
2.2%unopened
110 / 5,000 packs
Legendary0 / 13 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.26
Rare3 / 270 (1.1%)
2.7 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.4 · 0.5× launch rate
Common547 / 24,717 (2.2%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 6h ago
TierRemaining% of poolOdds / pack
Legendary0 / 130.0%depleted
Rare3 / 2700.5%—
Common547 / 24,71799%—
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 34 of 34 (100%)
Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Carlton Carrington
Carlton Carrington
Hustle · Nov 5, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Spencer Dinwiddie
Spencer Dinwiddie
3 Pointer · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.60
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Isaiah Hartenstein
Isaiah Hartenstein
Block · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Moussa Diabaté
Moussa Diabaté
Block · Nov 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.022
Luka Dončić
Luka Dončić
Assist · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.09%Wt 0.011
Sam Merrill
Sam Merrill
Layup · Nov 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.18%Wt 0.062
Wendell Carter Jr.
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Dec 31, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.033
Jake LaRavia
Jake LaRavia
Layup · Nov 11, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.27%Wt 0.053
Neemias Queta
Neemias Queta
Dunk · Nov 1, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.91%Wt 0.049
Jaxson Hayes
Jaxson Hayes
Dunk · Oct 23, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.36%Wt 0.044
Julian Phillips
Julian Phillips
Block · Nov 12, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031
Lauri Markkanen
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Jan 15, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031
Jose Alvarado
Jose Alvarado
3 Pointer · Nov 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.73%Wt 0.047
Naji Marshall
Naji Marshall
Assist · Nov 4, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Bogdan Bogdanović
Bogdan Bogdanović
Handles · Nov 26, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.45%Wt 0.035
Jordan McLaughlin
Jordan McLaughlin
3 Pointer · Nov 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.55%Wt 0.025
Collin Sexton
Collin Sexton
3 Pointer · Nov 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.64%Wt 0.056
Saddiq Bey
Saddiq Bey
3 Pointer · Jan 11, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.033
Jonas Valančiūnas
Jonas Valančiūnas
Dunk · Oct 30, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Daniel Gafford
Daniel Gafford
Dunk · Oct 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Klay Thompson
Klay Thompson
Assist · Jan 26, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Mikal Bridges
Mikal Bridges
Dunk · Nov 9, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.027
Isaiah Stewart
Isaiah Stewart
Block · Nov 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.64%Wt 0.056
Devin Vassell
Devin Vassell
Dunk · Dec 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029