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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5013
Holo Icon: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$7.50
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.25 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.50 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $2.15 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.50 ask
FMV coverage
100%
91 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 18h ago
Packs remaining
278
of 17,999 minted · as of 18h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 18h ago1.5%unopened
Ultimate0 / 4 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Legendary3 / 89 (3.4%)
1.1 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.49 · 2.2× launch rate
Rare50 / 2,700 (1.9%)
18 per 100 sealed packs · launch 15 · 1.2× launch rate
Common1,336 / 87,201 (1.5%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 4 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 3 / 89 | 0.2% | ~1 in 93 |
| Rare | 50 / 2,700 | 3.6% | ~1 in 6 |
| Common | 1,336 / 87,201 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 91 of 91 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Feb 4, 2025
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$125
Recent Low
$199
Mint 50
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Darius Garland
3 Pointer · Feb 6, 2025
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$61.00
Recent Low
$72.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Scottie Barnes
Dunk · Jan 7, 2025
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$55.00
Recent Low
$53.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Tyrese Haliburton
Reel · Nov 26, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Keyonte George
Dunk · Dec 20, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Nov 12, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Scottie Barnes
Steal · Jan 22, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Joel Embiid
Layup · Feb 5, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Alperen Şengün
Dunk · Nov 18, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.82
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Payton Pritchard
Reel · Dec 13, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Trey Murphy III
Handles · Feb 1, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
DeMar DeRozan
Jump Shot · Jan 7, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Kawhi Leonard
Handles · Jan 26, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Amir Coffey
Dunk · Jan 7, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Guerschon Yabusele
Dunk · Feb 3, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
De'Aaron Fox
3 Pointer · Feb 6, 2025
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,024
Hit 1.66%Wt 0.017
Ryan Rollins
Dunk · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.025
Keaton Wallace
Steal · Jan 16, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.57
Recent Low
$0.55
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.66%Wt 0.027
Pat Spencer
Dunk · Feb 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.47
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.024
Justin Champagnie
3 Pointer · Dec 29, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.88%Wt 0.029
Trey Jemison III
Dunk · Feb 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.028
Franz Wagner
Dunk · Dec 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.53%Wt 0.035
Moritz Wagner
Layup · Dec 15, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.38%Wt 0.034
Chris Boucher
Block · Oct 25, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.96%Wt 0.04