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RPC›NBA Top Shot
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NBA Top Shot
Dapper Labs · NBA
Flow
🏀Top Shot🏈All Day✨Pinnacle⚽Golazos🥊Strike🃏Panini⚾Candy
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Chasing Throwdowns II: Chance Hit
NBA Top Shot · Pack #5037

Chasing Throwdowns II: Chance Hit

Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →
Common5 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$18.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$18.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.94 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.95
Grail premium $0.99 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
364 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 8h ago
Packs remaining
153
of 11,000 minted · as of 8h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 8h ago
1.4%unopened
153 / 11,000 packs
Legendary1 / 8 (13%)
0.65 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.07 · 9.0× launch rate
Rare6 / 550 (1.1%)
3.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0 · 0.8× launch rate
Common758 / 54,442 (1.4%)

Pull odds by tier

5 slots/pack · as of 8h ago
TierRemaining% of poolOdds / pack
Legendary1 / 80.1%~1 in 153
Rare6 / 5500.8%~1 in 26
Common758 / 54,44299%~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 364 of 364 (100%)
Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Kevin Durant
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Apr 11, 2021
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$102
Recent Low
$83.00
Mint 61
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Dalton Knecht
Dalton Knecht
Dunk · Nov 30, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$14.50
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Donovan Mitchell
Donovan Mitchell
Handles · Nov 16, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Joel Embiid
Joel Embiid
Dunk · Feb 13, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.29
Recent Low
$6.55
Mint 506
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Paul George
Paul George
Jump Shot · Nov 1, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 333
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Jonathan Kuminga
Jonathan Kuminga
Layup · Dec 6, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
3 Pointer · Nov 20, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Kyle Lowry
Kyle Lowry
3 Pointer · May 3, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$1.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Ryan Rollins
Ryan Rollins
Dunk · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Russell Westbrook
Russell Westbrook
Dunk · Oct 27, 2021
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 11,111
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Ty Jerome
Ty Jerome
Assist · Feb 1, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Isaac Okoro
Isaac Okoro
Dunk · Nov 30, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Tacko Fall
Tacko Fall
Block · Nov 19, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Justin Holiday
Justin Holiday
Dunk · Nov 28, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.01
JaVale McGee
JaVale McGee
Dunk · Oct 31, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Mikal Bridges
Mikal Bridges
Dunk · Nov 9, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Jae'Sean Tate
Jae'Sean Tate
Dunk · Oct 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.01
Jakob Poeltl
Jakob Poeltl
Dunk · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.92%Wt 0.009
DeAndre Jordan
DeAndre Jordan
Dunk · Nov 9, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Robert Williams III
Robert Williams III
Dunk · Oct 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Svi Mykhailiuk
Svi Mykhailiuk
Dunk · Oct 30, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
James Johnson
James Johnson
Dunk · Oct 31, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Jordan Clarkson
Jordan Clarkson
Steal · Oct 29, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Juan Toscano-Anderson
Juan Toscano-Anderson
Dunk · Nov 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008