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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5037
Chasing Throwdowns II: Chance Hit
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$18.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.12 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $18.00
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $2.02 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $18.00
FMV coverage
100%
372 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 67d ago
Packs remaining
162
of 11,000 minted · as of 67d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 67d ago1.5%unopened
Legendary1 / 8 (13%)
Rare6 / 550 (1.1%)
Common807 / 54,442 (1.5%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 67d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 8 | 0.1% | ~1 in 163 |
| Rare | 6 / 550 | 0.7% | ~1 in 28 |
| Common | 807 / 54,442 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 372 of 372 (100%)Kevin Durant
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$269
Floor
$299
Mint 61
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Dalton Knecht
Freshman Gems
RARE7
FMV
$16.50
Floor
$12.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Joel Embiid
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$11.33
Floor
$9.00
Mint 506
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Paul George
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$7.44
Floor
$6.00
Mint 333
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Jonathan Kuminga
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$5.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Golden State Warriors
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.33
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Donovan Mitchell
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Ryan Rollins
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$1.11
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Tacko Fall
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.11
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
James Johnson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.10
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
JaVale McGee
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Cameron Johnson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.18
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
De'Anthony Melton
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.18
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Svi Mykhailiuk
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Nassir Little
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Isaac Okoro
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.86%Wt 0.009
Will Barton
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.86%Wt 0.009
Juan Toscano-Anderson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Mikal Bridges
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Nic Claxton
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Talen Horton-Tucker
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Jae'Sean Tate
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Justin Holiday
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.17
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Jakob Poeltl
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.86%Wt 0.009