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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5048
For The Win & Denied!: Chance Hit
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $10.86 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $9.00
Typical Pull
$4.75
Grail premium $6.11 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $9.00
FMV coverage
100%
30 editions
Depletion
99%
live pool
Packs remaining
142
of 22,068 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19h ago0.6%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
Legendary0 / 240 (0.0%)
Rare43 / 5,275 (0.8%)
Common647 / 104,823 (0.6%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 240 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 43 / 5,275 | 6.2% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 647 / 104,823 | 94% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 30 of 30 (100%)OG Anunoby
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$13.43
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.007
Svi Mykhailiuk
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$7.22
Floor
$7.00
Mint 599
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.035
Walker Kessler
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$5.82
Floor
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.028
De'Aaron Fox
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$5.55
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.007
Tyrese Haliburton
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$5.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.007
Austin Reaves
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$5.09
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.014
Moses Moody
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$5.07
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.014
Goga Bitadze
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$4.71
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.014
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$4.71
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.007
GG Jackson II
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$4.56
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.014
Lonzo Ball
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$4.43
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.021
Keon Johnson
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$4.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.007
DeMar DeRozan
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$4.38
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.014
Jaden McDaniels
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$4.36
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.021
Toumani Camara
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$4.36
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.014
Anfernee Simons
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$4.31
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.007
Grayson Allen
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$4.14
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.007
Cole Anthony
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$4.11
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.014
Scottie Barnes
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.035
Nick Richards
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.007
Kawhi Leonard
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$3.80
Floor
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.007
Paolo Banchero
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.95
Mint 2,500
Hit 15.38%Wt 0.127
Jalen Suggs
Hoop Vision
COMMON7
FMV
$0.65
Floor
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 10.26%Wt 0.085
Ayo Dosunmu
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 12.82%Wt 0.106