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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5048
For The Win & Denied!: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.85 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.15
Grail premium $1.70 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
75 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
133
of 22,068 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.6%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 240 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.1
Rare43 / 5,275 (0.8%)
32 per 100 sealed packs · launch 24 · 1.4× launch rate
Common622 / 104,823 (0.6%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 240 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 43 / 5,275 | 6.5% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 622 / 104,823 | 94% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 75 of 75 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Walker Kessler
Block · Feb 6, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Svi Mykhailiuk
Block · Jan 21, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.99
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.008
Tyrese Haliburton
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.78
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Austin Reaves
Layup · Dec 26, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Scottie Barnes
Block · Mar 8, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.99
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.008
Kawhi Leonard
Floater · Mar 10, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.85
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Toumani Camara
Block · Jan 31, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$3.88
Mint 599
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Jaden McDaniels
Block · Mar 5, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Lonzo Ball
Block · Feb 22, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005
Cole Anthony
Floater · Dec 29, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.60
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
DeMar DeRozan
Floater · Feb 11, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Moses Moody
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
GG Jackson II
Block · Feb 3, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Goga Bitadze
Block · Dec 16, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.01%Wt 0.03
Walker Kessler
Dunk · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.50%Wt 0.015
Brandon Williams
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.71%Wt 0.027
Paolo Banchero
Jump Shot · Feb 9, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.37
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.26%Wt 0.023
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.41%Wt 0.024
Jalen Johnson
Dunk · Dec 3, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.46%Wt 0.035
Jamal Murray
Layup · Feb 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.61%Wt 0.036
Tosan Evbuomwan
Layup · Jan 28, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.31%Wt 0.033
Peyton Watson
Dunk · Jan 2, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.21%Wt 0.042