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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5084
Rookie Revelation: Earnable Chance Hit Reward
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$19.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.76 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $2.66 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
83 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
225
of 6,753 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago3.3%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary5 / 100 (5.0%)
2.2 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.5 · 1.5× launch rate
Rare3 / 133 (2.3%)
1.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0 · 0.7× launch rate
Common1,117 / 33,531 (3.3%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 5 / 100 | 0.4% | ~1 in 45 |
| Rare | 3 / 133 | 0.3% | ~1 in 75 |
| Common | 1,117 / 33,531 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 83 of 83 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Kel'el Ware
Dunk · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$162
Recent Low
$180
Mint 75
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Zach Edey
Dunk · Jan 16, 2025
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$133
Recent Low
$148
Mint 75
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Ajay Mitchell
3 Pointer · Dec 30, 2024
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$93.00
Recent Low
$91.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Adem Bona
Dunk · Mar 9, 2025
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$56.00
Recent Low
$53.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Justin Edwards
Assist · Feb 1, 2025
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$54.00
Recent Low
$69.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Bronny James
3 Pointer · Mar 21, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Quinten Post
Block · Mar 21, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.49%Wt 0.025
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.29%Wt 0.033
Damion Baugh
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.52
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Brandon Williams
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
A.J. Lawson
3 Pointer · Mar 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.13%Wt 0.021
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
Cade Cunningham
Assist · Feb 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.20%Wt 0.032
Darius Garland
Assist · Jan 28, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
Ja Morant
Layup · Jan 14, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Tosan Evbuomwan
Layup · Jan 28, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.49%Wt 0.025
Jamal Murray
Layup · Feb 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.49%Wt 0.025
Julian Strawther
Dunk · Nov 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.043
Peyton Watson
Dunk · Jan 2, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.11%Wt 0.031
Josh Giddey
Jump Shot · Jan 26, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.09%Wt 0.041
Precious Achiuwa
Dunk · Dec 29, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.29%Wt 0.033
Mike Conley
3 Pointer · Jan 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04