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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5185
Metallic Gold LE: Guaranteed Rare
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$90.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $29.53 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $90.00 ask
Typical Pull
$2.50
Grail premium $27.03 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $90.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
48 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
14
of 903 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago1.6%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.11
Legendary4 / 136 (2.9%)
29 per 100 sealed packs · launch 15 · 1.9× launch rate
Rare24 / 1,669 (1.4%)
171 per 100 sealed packs · launch 185 · ≈ launch rate
Common42 / 2,709 (1.6%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 4 / 136 | 5.7% | ~1 in 4 |
| Rare | 24 / 1,669 | 34% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 42 / 2,709 | 60% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 48 of 48 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
DeMar DeRozan
Hook Shot · Mar 21, 2025
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$67.50
Recent Low
$75.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Zach LaVine
3 Pointer · Feb 25, 2025
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$56.70
Recent Low
$63.00
Mint 50
Hit 4.29%Wt 0.043
Cade Cunningham
Steal · Mar 1, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Steph Curry
Reel · Feb 28, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · Mar 16, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Deni Avdija
Dunk · Mar 16, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 12, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Mar 9, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Damian Lillard
3 Pointer · Mar 9, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Brice Sensabaugh
3 Pointer · Jan 5, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Mar 27, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.80
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Franz Wagner
3 Pointer · Jan 26, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.29%Wt 0.043
Paul George
Layup · Feb 27, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Julius Randle
Dunk · Mar 3, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.71%Wt 0.057
Mark Williams
Block · Mar 20, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Russell Westbrook
Dunk · Mar 15, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.99
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Zion Williamson
Reel · Feb 28, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.69
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Ryan Rollins
Dunk · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.90
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
LeBron James
Assist · Mar 28, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.29%Wt 0.043
Ausar Thompson
Assist · Mar 18, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Drew Timme
Layup · Mar 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Steph Curry
Assist · Mar 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Rui Hachimura
Assist · Jan 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Devin Booker
Assist · Feb 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
