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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5200
Chasing The Playoffs: Chance Hit II
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.15 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $2.05 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
77 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
17
of 9,500 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.2%unopened
Legendary0 / 190 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0
Rare4 / 2,375 (0.2%)
24 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · ≈ launch rate
Common81 / 44,935 (0.2%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 190 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 4 / 2,375 | 4.7% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 81 / 44,935 | 95% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 77 of 77 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Ky Bowman
Steal · Jan 9, 2020
Rookie Debut
RARESeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 250
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Franz Wagner
3 Pointer · Jan 26, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Jabari Smith Jr.
Dunk · Jan 18, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.89
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Brandon Boston Jr.
Jump Shot · Nov 9, 2024
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Matas Buzelis
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Carlton Carrington
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.60
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
LeBron James
Assist · Mar 28, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Ronald Holland II
Layup · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.76
Recent Low
$0.79
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Ausar Thompson
Assist · Mar 18, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Drew Timme
Layup · Mar 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Walker Kessler
Dunk · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Toumani Camara
Steal · Nov 17, 2024
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Rui Hachimura
Assist · Jan 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Peyton Watson
Block · Apr 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Bogdan Bogdanović
Assist · Apr 4, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Bol Bol
Assist · Feb 9, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Fred VanVleet
Assist · Mar 31, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
James Harden
Assist · Mar 13, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Jump Shot · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024