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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5223
Chasing Jalen Brunson: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.23 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $1.13 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
47 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
10
of 10,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.1%unopened
Legendary0 / 200 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0
Rare2 / 2,500 (0.1%)
20 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · 0.8× launch rate
Common48 / 47,300 (0.1%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 200 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 2 / 2,500 | 4.0% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 48 / 47,300 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 47 of 47 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Bennedict Mathurin
Dunk · Jan 28, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.52
Mint 699
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Paul Pierce
Jump Shot · May 9, 2015
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
De'Aaron Fox
3 Pointer · Feb 6, 2025
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,024
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Quinten Post
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
LeBron James
Assist · Mar 28, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.51
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
Michael Finley
Dunk · May 16, 2006
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.37
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 20,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Tyrese Haliburton
Assist · Jan 4, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
John Wall
Layup · Jan 18, 2014
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Tyrese Haliburton
Assist · Nov 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Baron Davis
Layup · Dec 15, 2005
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 20,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Feb 20, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Jerami Grant
Dunk · Jan 12, 2017
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Anthony Davis
Block · Dec 31, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Jake LaRavia
Layup · Nov 11, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Tyler Herro
Dunk · Dec 21, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Andre Drummond
Dunk · Nov 9, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Nenê
Dunk · May 11, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Julian Strawther
Dunk · Nov 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
LaMelo Ball
3 Pointer · Feb 11, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02