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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5228
Chasing The Playoffs: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$24.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $4.05 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $24.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.05
Grail premium $3.00 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $24.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
141 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 21h ago
Packs remaining
34
of 9,653 minted · as of 21h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 21h ago0.4%unopened
Legendary1 / 194 (0.5%)
2.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0 · 1.5× launch rate
Rare9 / 2,404 (0.4%)
26 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · ≈ launch rate
Common160 / 45,667 (0.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 21h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 194 | 0.6% | ~1 in 34 |
| Rare | 9 / 2,404 | 5.3% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 160 / 45,667 | 94% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 141 of 141 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Tidjane Salaün
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2025
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$60.30
Recent Low
$67.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Brandon Ingram
Jump Shot · Dec 20, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Cam Thomas
3 Pointer · Nov 7, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Aaron Gordon
Dunk · Apr 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.75
Mint 299
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Naji Marshall
3 Pointer · Mar 25, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Golden State Warriors
3 Pointer · Nov 20, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
James Harden
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2021
2021 All-Star Game
RARESeries 2
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Brook Lopez
Block · Nov 14, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Dejounte Murray
3 Pointer · Jan 20, 2024
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Nikola Vučević
Dunk · Jan 6, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
De'Aaron Fox
3 Pointer · Feb 6, 2025
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,024
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Mikal Bridges
Dunk · Jun 20, 2021
2021 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.79
Mint 11,250
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Ausar Thompson
Assist · Mar 18, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.51
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Jalen Brunson
Assist · Mar 2, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Josh Giddey
Jump Shot · Jan 26, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Devin Booker
Steal · Nov 3, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018