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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5232
First Round: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$19.50
Actual EV
—
≈ $4.29 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.50 ask
Typical Pull
$0.93
Grail premium $3.36 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.50 ask
FMV coverage
100%
88 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 21h ago
Packs remaining
139
of 14,654 minted · as of 21h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 21h ago0.9%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary4 / 367 (1.1%)
2.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.5 · 1.1× launch rate
Rare48 / 5,129 (0.9%)
35 per 100 sealed packs · launch 35 · ≈ launch rate
Common365 / 38,463 (0.9%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 21h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 4 / 367 | 1.0% | ~1 in 35 |
| Rare | 48 / 5,129 | 12% | ~1 in 3 |
| Common | 365 / 38,463 | 88% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 88 of 88 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Luguentz Dort
Layup · Jan 3, 2021
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$75.00
Recent Low
$110
Mint 99
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Tidjane Salaün
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2025
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$60.30
Recent Low
$67.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Tristan da Silva
3 Pointer · Dec 24, 2024
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$41.00
Recent Low
$66.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Nic Claxton
Layup · Feb 23, 2025
Ascension
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$35.70
Recent Low
$42.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
LeBron James
Block · Apr 23, 2024
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 784
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Steph Curry
Reel · Feb 28, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Cade Cunningham
Dunk · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.45
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Steph Curry
Reel · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Justin Edwards
Dunk · Mar 20, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Deni Avdija
Dunk · Mar 16, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Reel · Dec 1, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$5.39
Mint 499
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Mar 27, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.80
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Paul George
Layup · Feb 27, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Domantas Sabonis
Reel · Jan 11, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.75
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
De'Aaron Fox
Layup · Jan 6, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.69
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Jarrett Allen
Block · Apr 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$8.45
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Nick Richards
Dunk · Jan 26, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Bilal Coulibaly
Dunk · Jan 26, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
LeBron James
Steal · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
Paolo Banchero
Jump Shot · Apr 25, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.57
Recent Low
$0.53
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.88%Wt 0.029
Jalen Williams
Dunk · Apr 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.88%Wt 0.029
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.12%Wt 0.031