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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5235
First Round Rewind: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$12.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.52 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $12.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $1.42 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $12.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
168 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
53
of 10,000 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago0.5%unopened
Legendary0 / 200 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0
Rare14 / 2,500 (0.6%)
26 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · ≈ launch rate
Common251 / 47,300 (0.5%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 200 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 14 / 2,500 | 5.3% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 251 / 47,300 | 95% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 168 of 168 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jaylen Brown
Steal · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$8.75
Mint 299
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Kyle Kuzma
Hook Shot · Nov 11, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$6.99
Mint 399
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Denver Nuggets
Dunk · Dec 14, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Tobias Harris
Dunk · Feb 6, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.99
Mint 749
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Tyrese Haliburton
3 Pointer · Mar 5, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Reel · Mar 20, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Bogdan Bogdanović
Steal · Mar 18, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Keegan Murray
Reel · Dec 17, 2023
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Terrence Ross
Dunk · Apr 9, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Washington Wizards
Dunk · Jan 15, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Gary Payton II
Dunk · Jan 30, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.50
Mint 599
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Dec 2, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.27
Mint 699
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
D'Angelo Russell
Dunk · Oct 31, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.93
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Donte DiVincenzo
Dunk · Feb 9, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Matas Buzelis
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Reed Sheppard
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.45
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
LeBron James
Assist · Mar 28, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.015
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.015
Drew Timme
Layup · Mar 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.13%Wt 0.011
Ausar Thompson
Layup · Apr 19, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.008
Paolo Banchero
Jump Shot · Apr 25, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.57
Recent Low
$0.53
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.008
Chet Holmgren
Block · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.13%Wt 0.011
Draymond Green
Steal · Apr 27, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.015
Tyrese Maxey
Block · Feb 9, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.26%Wt 0.023