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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5239
Chasing The First Round: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$24.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.44 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $24.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.05
Grail premium $1.39 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $24.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
114 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
32
of 8,500 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago0.4%unopened
Legendary0 / 164 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.9
Rare7 / 2,096 (0.3%)
22 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · 0.9× launch rate
Common153 / 40,240 (0.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 164 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 7 / 2,096 | 4.4% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 153 / 40,240 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 114 of 114 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Joel Embiid
Reel · Nov 7, 2023
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
John Collins
Dunk · Dec 14, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.99
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Paul George
Layup · Feb 27, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Scottie Barnes
Assist · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Keon Ellis
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 2024
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Brandon Boston Jr.
Jump Shot · Nov 9, 2024
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Bradley Beal
Jump Shot · Oct 21, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Matas Buzelis
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Jared McCain
Jump Shot · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.99
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
De'Aaron Fox
3 Pointer · Feb 6, 2025
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,024
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.76
Recent Low
$0.84
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Drew Timme
Layup · Mar 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Steph Curry
Assist · Mar 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Brandon Williams
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.019
Jalen Johnson
Dunk · Dec 3, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.019
Devin Booker
Assist · Feb 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.019
Josh Giddey
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Precious Achiuwa
Dunk · Dec 29, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Tyrese Maxey
Block · Feb 9, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031