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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5240
Chasing The Playoffs: Chance Hit III
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$18.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.39 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $1.29 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
112 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 4h ago
Packs remaining
29
of 9,000 minted · as of 4h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 4h ago0.3%unopened
Legendary0 / 180 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0
Rare3 / 2,262 (0.1%)
10 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · 0.4× launch rate
Common142 / 42,558 (0.3%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 4h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 180 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 3 / 2,262 | 2.1% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 142 / 42,558 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 112 of 112 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Stephon Castle
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Kel'el Ware
Jump Shot · Nov 3, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Ja Morant
Dunk · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.94
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Ja Morant
Dunk · Dec 8, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Caris LeVert
Layup · Mar 4, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
LeBron James
Assist · Mar 28, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
LeBron James
Dunk · Jan 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.86
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Ausar Thompson
Assist · Mar 18, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
Drew Timme
Layup · Mar 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Jalen Brunson
Assist · Mar 2, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Steph Curry
Assist · Mar 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Walker Kessler
Dunk · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Rui Hachimura
Assist · Jan 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
Darius Garland
Assist · Feb 22, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Jalen Johnson
Dunk · Dec 3, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Trae Young
Assist · Mar 5, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
Tyrese Haliburton
Assist · Nov 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Grayson Allen
3 Pointer · Feb 8, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.014
Julian Strawther
Dunk · Nov 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.76%Wt 0.028
Fred VanVleet
Assist · Mar 31, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
James Harden
Assist · Mar 13, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021