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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5244
First Round: Chance Hit Mini
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.15 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.55 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
331 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 20h ago
Packs remaining
292
of 10,000 minted · as of 20h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 20h ago2.9%unopened
Legendary1 / 50 (2.0%)
0.34 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.50 · 0.7× launch rate
Rare8 / 500 (1.6%)
2.7 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0 · 0.5× launch rate
Common867 / 29,450 (2.9%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 50 | 0.1% | ~1 in 292 |
| Rare | 8 / 500 | 0.9% | ~1 in 37 |
| Common | 867 / 29,450 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 331 of 331 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Marcus Smart
Assist · Mar 22, 2023
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$80.10
Recent Low
$89.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Michael Porter Jr.
Floater · Nov 11, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.88
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Kawhi Leonard
Handles · Jan 26, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Cedric Ceballos
Dunk · Jan 31, 1996
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Golden State Warriors
3 Pointer · Nov 20, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Zaccharie Risacher
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Mikal Bridges
3 Pointer · Mar 12, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Clint Capela
Block · Jan 10, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Myles Turner
Dunk · Jan 5, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
LeBron James
Steal · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Luka Dončić
Jump Shot · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.006
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.006
Drew Timme
Layup · Mar 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.80%Wt 0.008
Steph Curry
Reel · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.54
Recent Low
$0.51
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Brandin Podziemski
3 Pointer · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.80%Wt 0.008
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.016
Paul George
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.016
Tyler Herro
Dunk · Dec 21, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.013
Julian Strawther
Dunk · Nov 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014