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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5257
First Round Rewind: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$17.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.72 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $17.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $2.62 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $17.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
214 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
86
of 10,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.9%unopened
Legendary1 / 200 (0.5%)
1.2 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0 · 0.6× launch rate
Rare18 / 2,500 (0.7%)
21 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · 0.8× launch rate
Common411 / 47,300 (0.9%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 200 | 0.2% | ~1 in 86 |
| Rare | 18 / 2,500 | 4.2% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 411 / 47,300 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 214 of 214 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Ajay Mitchell
3 Pointer · Dec 30, 2024
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$93.00
Recent Low
$91.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Kevin Durant
Layup · Dec 2, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Eric Paschall
Dunk · Jan 5, 2020
Rookie Debut
RARESeries 1
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 250
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Cade Cunningham
Dunk · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.45
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Rudy Gobert
Block · Oct 26, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.89
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Mar 27, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.80
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Joel Embiid
Reel · Nov 7, 2023
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Portland Trail Blazers
Layup · Dec 14, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Reel · Mar 20, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Donovan Clingan
Layup · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Minnesota Timberwolves
Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 999
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Keegan Murray
Reel · Dec 17, 2023
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Khris Middleton
3 Pointer · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Donte DiVincenzo
Dunk · Feb 9, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Luguentz Dort
Dunk · Feb 8, 2022
Squad Goals
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 392
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Max Christie
3 Pointer · Feb 8, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Santi Aldama
Layup · Feb 12, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Tyler Herro
3 Pointer · Nov 13, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Luka Dončić
Jump Shot · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.51
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.016
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.019
Cade Cunningham
Dunk · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.019