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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5264
First Round: Chance Hit Mini
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$13.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.57 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $0.91 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
52 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 17h ago
Packs remaining
22
of 10,000 minted · as of 17h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 17h ago0.2%unopened
Legendary0 / 25 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.25
Rare2 / 500 (0.4%)
9.1 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0 · 1.8× launch rate
Common64 / 29,475 (0.2%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 25 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 2 / 500 | 3.0% | ~1 in 11 |
| Common | 64 / 29,475 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 52 of 52 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Cade Cunningham
Dunk · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.45
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
CJ McCollum
3 Pointer · Mar 3, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.42
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.76
Recent Low
$0.84
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Ausar Thompson
Layup · Apr 19, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.63
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.63
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Steph Curry
Reel · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.51
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Damion Baugh
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Brandin Podziemski
3 Pointer · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Brandon Williams
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.43
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Ty Jerome
3 Pointer · Apr 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Scotty Pippen Jr.
3 Pointer · Apr 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Devin Booker
Assist · Feb 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Isaiah Hartenstein
Dunk · Feb 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Mike Conley
3 Pointer · Jan 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Tobias Harris
Steal · Jan 4, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Cam Thomas
3 Pointer · Oct 27, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Dillon Brooks
3 Pointer · Jan 28, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03