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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5422
The Peak: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$19.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.95 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.17
Grail premium $0.78 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
86 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
66
of 25,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.3%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 5 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Rare4 / 2,500 (0.2%)
6.1 per 100 sealed packs · launch 10 · 0.6× launch rate
Common194 / 72,493 (0.3%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 5 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 4 / 2,500 | 2.0% | ~1 in 17 |
| Common | 194 / 72,493 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 86 of 86 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Feb 7, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
T.J. McConnell
Reel · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$14.50
Mint 299
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Anthony Davis
Reel · Dec 16, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Chris Boucher
Dunk · Feb 11, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · Jun 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Luguentz Dort
3 Pointer · Jun 17, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Cason Wallace
Block · Jun 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.54%Wt 0.035
Aaron Wiggins
3 Pointer · Jun 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Bennedict Mathurin
3 Pointer · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02
Aaron Nesmith
3 Pointer · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Tyrese Haliburton
Jump Shot · Jun 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Obi Toppin
Dunk · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 25, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02
Tyrese Haliburton
Jump Shot · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.89
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02
Isaiah Joe
3 Pointer · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.89
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Ben Sheppard
Layup · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.85
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein
Steal · Jun 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.53%Wt 0.025
Pascal Siakam
Dunk · Jun 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02
T.J. McConnell
Steal · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.68
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.53%Wt 0.025
Steph Curry
Reel · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.54
Recent Low
$0.51
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Chet Holmgren
Dunk · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02
Alex Caruso
Steal · Jun 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.42
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.54%Wt 0.035
OG Anunoby
Block · May 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02
Julius Randle
3 Pointer · May 15, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02