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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5455
Commissioner's Cup: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.42 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.40
Grail premium $0.02 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
8 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 23m ago
Packs remaining
13
of 240 minted · as of 23m ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 23m ago5.4%unopened
Rare0 / 12 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0
Common26 / 468 (5.6%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 23m ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 0 / 12 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 26 / 468 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 8 of 8 (100%)Natisha Hiedeman
Floater · May 22, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.038
Natasha Howard
Jump Shot · May 22, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 3,000
Hit 15.38%Wt 0.154
Courtney Williams
3 Pointer · May 18, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 19.23%Wt 0.192
Lexie Hull
Layup · May 20, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 11.54%Wt 0.115
Bridget Carleton
3 Pointer · Sep 17, 2024
WNBA 2024
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 15.38%Wt 0.154
Aliyah Boston
Layup · Jul 6, 2024
WNBA 2024
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 3,000
Hit 11.54%Wt 0.115
Kayla McBride
3 Pointer · Jun 8, 2024
WNBA 2024
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 3,000
Hit 11.54%Wt 0.115
NaLyssa Smith
3 Pointer · May 30, 2024
WNBA 2024
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 11.54%Wt 0.115