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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5498
Fresh Gems: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$15.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.54 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $15.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $1.88 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $15.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
53 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
146
of 10,500 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.4%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Rare9 / 523 (1.7%)
6.2 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0 · 1.2× launch rate
Common429 / 30,976 (1.4%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 9 / 523 | 2.1% | ~1 in 17 |
| Common | 429 / 30,976 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 53 of 53 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Sonia Citron
Layup · May 18, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems: Signature Edition
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$180
Recent Low
$200
Mint 20
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Sarah Ashlee Barker
Jump Shot · May 17, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025 - Signature Edition
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$32.50
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Janelle Salaün
3 Pointer · Jun 10, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Aneesah Morrow
Layup · Jun 18, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.90
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 129
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Aaliyah Nye
Jump Shot · Jun 14, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$12.25
Mint 149
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Rhyne Howard
3 Pointer · Jun 13, 2025
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Te-Hina Paopao
3 Pointer · Jun 15, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Allisha Gray
Layup · May 28, 2025
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Natisha Hiedeman
Floater · May 22, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 2.28%Wt 0.023
Kate Martin
Jump Shot · Jun 20, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.021
Ezi Magbegor
Block · Jun 28, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 4.34%Wt 0.043
Ariel Atkins
Jump Shot · May 30, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 2.97%Wt 0.03
Kayla Thornton
3 Pointer · Jun 28, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.021
Rebecca Allen
3 Pointer · May 30, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.20%Wt 0.032
Sug Sutton
3 Pointer · Jun 27, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.88%Wt 0.039
Monique Billings
Block · Jun 7, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 2.51%Wt 0.025
Rhyne Howard
3 Pointer · May 20, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 2.28%Wt 0.023
Marine Johannes
3 Pointer · Jun 26, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.25%Wt 0.053
Sabrina Ionescu
3 Pointer · Jun 5, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.25%Wt 0.053
Brittney Griner
Layup · Jun 13, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.48%Wt 0.055
Shey Peddy
Layup · Jun 26, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 4.11%Wt 0.041
Dearica Hamby
Layup · Jun 25, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.02%Wt 0.05
Isabelle Harrison
Steal · Jun 5, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 3,000
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.027
Julie Allemand
Assist · Jun 1, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.034