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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5535
Run It Back: Origins Premium Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$31.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $7.82 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $31.00 ask
Typical Pull
$8.00
Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $31.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
145 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
169
of 4,999 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago3.4%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Legendary1 / 25 (4.0%)
0.59 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.50 · 1.2× launch rate
Rare205 / 6,250 (3.3%)
121 per 100 sealed packs · launch 125 · ≈ launch rate
Common132 / 3,722 (3.5%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 25 | 0.3% | ~1 in 169 |
| Rare | 205 / 6,250 | 61% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 132 / 3,722 | 39% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 145 of 145 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Keldon Johnson
Dunk · Nov 27, 2021
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$39.60
Recent Low
$44.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Layup · Oct 26, 2019
MVP Moves
RARESeries 1
FMV
$25.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Jan 20, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Damian Lillard
Layup · Oct 31, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Donovan Clingan
Block · Nov 14, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 365
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Damian Lillard
3 Pointer · Jan 25, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 270
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Cade Cunningham
Handles · Dec 27, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Patrick Ewing
Dunk · Jan 29, 1986
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.55%Wt 0.036
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Mar 16, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009
Toni Kukoč
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 1993
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Pascal Siakam
Hook Shot · Oct 26, 2016
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Michael Porter Jr.
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
John Wall
Steal · Nov 2, 2010
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
Amar'e Stoudemire
Dunk · Dec 31, 2002
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.37%Wt 0.024
Dwight Howard
Dunk · Nov 4, 2004
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.25
Recent Low
$5.50
Mint 399
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009
Brandon Roy
Handles · Nov 2, 2006
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
Derrick Coleman
Dunk · Feb 16, 1991
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
DeMar DeRozan
Dunk · Dec 19, 2009
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Andrea Bargnani
Dunk · Feb 5, 2007
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
Jimmy Butler
Layup · Jan 8, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Reel · Mar 20, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009
Greg Oden
Block · Jan 20, 2009
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Damon Stoudamire
Handles · Mar 27, 1996
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009
Devin Vassell
Dunk · Feb 8, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009