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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5554
Holo Icon: Chance Hit
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$48.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $5.63 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (100% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $48.00
Typical Pull
$1.44
Grail premium $4.19 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (100% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $48.00
FMV coverage
100%
38 editions
Depletion
100%
live pool
Packs remaining
19
of 11,999 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20d ago0.2%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
Legendary0 / 120 (0.0%)
Rare1 / 360 (0.3%)
Common59 / 35,516 (0.2%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 20d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 120 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 1 / 360 | 1.7% | ~1 in 20 |
| Common | 59 / 35,516 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 38 of 38 (100%)Caitlin Clark
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARE7
FMV
$60.77
Floor
$30.00
Mint 199
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Dominique Malonga
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$12.55
Floor
$9.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Carla Leite
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$5.94
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Hailey Van Lith
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$2.41
Floor
$2.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kaitlyn Chen
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$2.11
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Damiris Dantas
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.55
Floor
$0.95
Mint 1,250
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Kariata Diaby
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.28
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Murjanatu Musa
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.11
Floor
$0.95
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Aaliyah Nye
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Aaliyah Edwards
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.86
Floor
$0.75
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Olivia Nelson-Ododa
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.82
Floor
$0.26
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Diamond Miller
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.77
Floor
$0.25
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Rae Burrell
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.69
Floor
$0.24
Mint 3,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Natasha Mack
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.54
Floor
$0.63
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Isabelle Harrison
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.37
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
A'ja Wilson
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.35
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Michaela Onyenwere
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.30
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Sug Sutton
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.30
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Sabrina Ionescu
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.28
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Dana Evans
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.25
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Kayla McBride
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.32
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Rachel Banham
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Kia Nurse
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.29
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Courtney Williams
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.15
Mint 3,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067