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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5554
Holo Icon: Chance Hit
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$29.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.36 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (100% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.99
Typical Pull
$0.84
Grail premium $2.52 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (100% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.99
FMV coverage
100%
38 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 67d ago
Packs remaining
19
of 11,999 minted · as of 67d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 67d ago0.2%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
Legendary0 / 120 (0.0%)
Rare1 / 360 (0.3%)
Common59 / 35,516 (0.2%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 67d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 120 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 1 / 360 | 1.7% | ~1 in 20 |
| Common | 59 / 35,516 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 38 of 38 (100%)Caitlin Clark
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARE7
FMV
$33.97
Floor
$27.00
Mint 199
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Dominique Malonga
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$9.10
Floor
$7.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Carla Leite
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$2.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Hailey Van Lith
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$2.20
Floor
$2.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kaitlyn Chen
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.69
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Aaliyah Nye
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.99
Floor
$0.89
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Murjanatu Musa
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.49
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kariata Diaby
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.50
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Damiris Dantas
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.52
Floor
$0.43
Mint 1,250
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Olivia Nelson-Ododa
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
A'ja Wilson
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.24
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Sabrina Ionescu
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.21
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Natasha Mack
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Rae Burrell
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 3,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Kia Nurse
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Aaliyah Edwards
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Rachel Banham
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.29
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Michaela Onyenwere
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Kayla McBride
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Dana Evans
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Isabelle Harrison
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Ezi Magbegor
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Sug Sutton
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Courtney Williams
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067