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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5642
Legacy Threads: Premium Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Rare2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$50.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $11.57 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $50.00 ask
Typical Pull
$9.88
Grail premium $1.69 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $50.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
63 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 6h ago
Packs remaining
48
of 2,999 minted · as of 6h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 6h ago1.6%unopened
Legendary3 / 60 (5.0%)
6.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0 · 3.1× launch rate
Rare59 / 3,749 (1.6%)
123 per 100 sealed packs · launch 125 · ≈ launch rate
Common34 / 2,189 (1.6%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 6h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 3 / 60 | 3.1% | ~1 in 16 |
| Rare | 59 / 3,749 | 61% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 34 / 2,189 | 35% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 63 of 63 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
James Harden
Layup · Oct 31, 2012
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$40.00
Recent Low
$40.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Kenny Smith
Layup · Nov 2, 1990
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$40.00
Recent Low
$34.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Jason Kidd
Assist · Oct 31, 2001
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$37.00
Recent Low
$31.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Reel · Apr 3, 2025
2024-25 Honors
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$22.50
Recent Low
$30.00
Mint 81
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Jalen Duren
Block · Jan 29, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Feb 28, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$19.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Cade Cunningham
Steal · Mar 1, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · May 20, 2024
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 269
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Ben Wallace
Block · Jun 1, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$11.50
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 990
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Aug 9, 2020
MVP Moves
RARESeries 1
FMV
$11.25
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Patrick Ewing
Dunk · Jan 29, 1986
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Kevin Durant
Reel · Nov 29, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Devonte' Graham
3 Pointer · Nov 17, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$10.78
Recent Low
$11.98
Mint 299
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Mar 16, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Toni Kukoč
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 1993
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Josh Jackson
Steal · Mar 11, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Jayson Tatum
Jump Shot · Dec 14, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Jayson Tatum
Jump Shot · May 30, 2022
And Then There Were Four
RARESeries 3
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 433
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Walker Kessler
Block · Feb 6, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Pascal Siakam
Hook Shot · Oct 26, 2016
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Bam Adebayo
Dunk · Dec 5, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Amar'e Stoudemire
Dunk · Feb 22, 2015
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Jimmy Butler
Layup · Jan 8, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Damon Stoudamire
Handles · Mar 27, 1996
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.12%Wt 0.031