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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5648
Legacy Threads: Premium Chance Hit III
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Rare2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$32.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $7.91 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $32.00 ask
Typical Pull
$8.00
Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $32.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
83 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
65
of 1,999 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago3.3%unopened
Legendary1 / 40 (2.5%)
1.5 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0 · 0.8× launch rate
Rare79 / 2,499 (3.2%)
122 per 100 sealed packs · launch 125 · ≈ launch rate
Common50 / 1,459 (3.4%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 40 | 0.8% | ~1 in 65 |
| Rare | 79 / 2,499 | 61% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 50 / 1,459 | 38% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 83 of 83 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Chauncey Billups
Layup · Oct 30, 2002
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$43.00
Recent Low
$40.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Damian Lillard
Layup · Oct 31, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Franz Wagner
Dunk · Nov 18, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Dunk · Dec 7, 2023
2023-24 Honors
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.25
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 150
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Mar 16, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.31%Wt 0.023
Alperen Şengün
Assist · Mar 27, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Keegan Murray
Dunk · Jan 21, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Jaylen Brown
3 Pointer · Jan 20, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.78
Recent Low
$9.75
Mint 399
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Pascal Siakam
Hook Shot · Oct 26, 2016
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Jermaine O'Neal
Dunk · Apr 29, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Karl-Anthony Towns
3 Pointer · Apr 27, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Nov 23, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Aleksej Pokusevski
Dunk · Mar 28, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Damian Lillard
3 Pointer · Mar 9, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Feb 6, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · May 10, 2024
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 314
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Pascal Siakam
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Block · Dec 14, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 226
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Franz Wagner
3 Pointer · Jan 26, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Tracy McGrady
Jump Shot · Feb 21, 2010
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.50
Mint 299
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Muggsy Bogues
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 1987
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · Jun 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$8.75
Mint 299
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Jordan Poole
Handles · Nov 11, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Karl-Anthony Towns
Reel · Oct 30, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015