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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5651
Holo Icon: Premium Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$45.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.19 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $45.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $2.53 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $45.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
100 editions
Depletion
93%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
52
of 799 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago6.5%unopened
Legendary1 / 20 (5.0%)
1.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.5 · 0.8× launch rate
Rare7 / 80 (8.8%)
13 per 100 sealed packs · launch 10 · 1.3× launch rate
Common148 / 2,297 (6.4%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 20 | 0.6% | ~1 in 52 |
| Rare | 7 / 80 | 4.5% | ~1 in 8 |
| Common | 148 / 2,297 | 95% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 100 of 100 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Ariel Atkins
Jump Shot · Jul 12, 2025
WNBA Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$60.00
Recent Low
$99.90
Mint 49
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Paige Bueckers
Jump Shot · May 16, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Courtney Vandersloot
Jump Shot · May 30, 2025
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Marina Mabrey
Jump Shot · Jun 6, 2025
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Jewell Loyd
Handles · Jun 17, 2023
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2023
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Rhyne Howard
3 Pointer · Jun 13, 2025
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 199
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.013
Courtney Williams
3 Pointer · Jul 9, 2025
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Tina Charles
Jump Shot · Jul 9, 2025
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Sonia Citron
Jump Shot · May 16, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Kiki Iriafen
Layup · May 16, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Kaitlyn Chen
Layup · Jun 23, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.013
Aneesah Morrow
3 Pointer · May 25, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Monique Akoa Makani
Layup · May 18, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Luisa Geiselsöder
Jump Shot · May 27, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.90
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.013
Te-Hina Paopao
Layup · May 16, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.75
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 1,250
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
JJ Quinerly
Layup · Jul 10, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.013
Damiris Dantas
Layup · May 28, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.47
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.013
Bree Hall
Layup · Jun 23, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.013
Chloe Bibby
3 Pointer · Jun 19, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Kate Martin
Jump Shot · Jun 20, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Ezi Magbegor
Block · Jun 28, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Chelsea Gray
Jump Shot · Jun 1, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Li Yueru
Layup · May 31, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Isabelle Harrison
Steal · Jun 5, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 3,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026