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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5669
Fresh Gems: Premium Chance Hit
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$99.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $74.93 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $99.00
Typical Pull
$51.27
Grail premium $23.66 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $99.00
FMV coverage
100%
16 editions
Depletion
90%
live pool
Packs remaining
30
of 297 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 17h ago10%unopened
Rare21 / 217 (9.7%)
Common69 / 674 (10%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 21 / 217 | 23% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 69 / 674 | 77% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 16 of 16 (100%)Caitlin Clark
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARE7
FMV
$60.77
Floor
$30.00
Mint 199
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033
Kiki Iriafen
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$54.78
Floor
$45.00
Mint 129
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.067
Dominique Malonga
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$48.46
Floor
$35.00
Mint 129
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.067
Saniya Rivers
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$27.75
Floor
$21.00
Mint 129
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.067
Hailey Van Lith
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$22.67
Floor
$15.00
Mint 129
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033
Rhyne Howard
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARE7
FMV
$21.36
Floor
$12.00
Mint 199
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033
Sania Feagin
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025 - Signature Edition
COMMON7
FMV
$19.25
Floor
$35.00
Mint 50
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033
Dearica Hamby
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARE7
FMV
$17.09
Floor
$12.00
Mint 199
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.067
DiJonai Carrington
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARE7
FMV
$14.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 199
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033
Makayla Timpson
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$13.57
Floor
$8.00
Mint 149
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033
Luisa Geiselsöder
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$13.50
Floor
$15.00
Mint 149
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.067
Aziaha James
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$12.78
Floor
$7.00
Mint 129
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033
Lucy Olsen
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$12.25
Floor
$9.00
Mint 149
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.067
Kitija Laksa
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$9.32
Floor
$8.00
Mint 149
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033
JJ Quinerly
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$7.00
Mint 149
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033
Tina Charles
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025
RARE7
FMV
$7.38
Floor
$6.00
Mint 199
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.033