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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5727
Rookie Revelation: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$19.90
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.36 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.90 ask
Typical Pull
$0.48
Grail premium $1.88 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.90 ask
FMV coverage
100%
45 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
30
of 9,998 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.3%unopened
Legendary1 / 18 (5.6%)
3.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.18 · 19× launch rate
Rare1 / 350 (0.3%)
3.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 3.5 · ≈ launch rate
Common58 / 19,628 (0.3%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 18 | 1.7% | ~1 in 30 |
| Rare | 1 / 350 | 1.7% | ~1 in 30 |
| Common | 58 / 19,628 | 97% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 45 of 45 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Brittney Sykes
Jump Shot · Jun 18, 2025
WNBA Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$44.10
Recent Low
$49.00
Mint 49
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kitija Laksa
3 Pointer · Jun 6, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.75
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 149
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Luisa Geiselsöder
Jump Shot · May 27, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.90
Mint 1,250
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Te-Hina Paopao
Layup · May 16, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.75
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Aaliyah Nye
3 Pointer · May 20, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kelsey Plum
3 Pointer · May 25, 2025
WNBA Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.33
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kelsey Plum
Floater · Aug 21, 2025
WNBA Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Sabrina Ionescu
3 Pointer · Jul 6, 2025
WNBA Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Satou Sabally
3 Pointer · May 18, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Arike Ogunbowale
Assist · Jul 23, 2025
WNBA Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Sabrina Ionescu
Steal · Jun 25, 2025
WNBA Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Erica Wheeler
Handles · Aug 2, 2025
WNBA Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Dana Evans
3 Pointer · Jul 9, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Cecilia Zandalasini
Jump Shot · Jul 29, 2025
WNBA Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Natasha Cloud
Reel · May 24, 2025
WNBA Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Temi Fágbénlé
Layup · Jul 25, 2025
WNBA Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough
3 Pointer · Jul 27, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Aliyah Boston
Floater · Jul 2, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Sevgi Uzun
Floater · Aug 6, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Tina Charles
Reel · Jul 12, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Naz Hillmon
3 Pointer · Jul 31, 2025
WNBA Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Chelsea Gray
Assist · Jul 6, 2025
WNBA Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 1,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Haley Jones
3 Pointer · Jul 31, 2025
WNBA Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 1,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Gabby Williams
Block · May 20, 2025
WNBA 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033